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  • 中國動力電池行業競爭加劇 降本壓力大

    • 原創
    • 2019-06-06 16:38
    • 來源:電車資源 素萍

    摘要:2019年1-4月動力電池總裝機電量17.67GWh,同比增長116.7%;2019年4月,我國動力電池裝機電量共計5.41GWh,同比增長43.9%,相比較于3月增速有所回落。

    2019年1-4月,我國新能源汽車產銷分別36.8萬輛和36.0萬輛,比上年同期分別增長58.5%和59.3%。新能源汽車產量的大幅增長,直接拉動了動力電池裝機量的增長。

    中國動力電池行業競爭加劇 降本壓力大

    圖為2018-2019年各月份電池裝機量

    數據顯示,2018年我國動力電池總裝機電量達57.09GWh,同比增長57%。

    2019年1-4月動力電池總裝機電量17.67GWh,同比增長116.7%;2019年4月,我國動力電池裝機電量共計5.41GWh,同比增長43.9%,相比較于3月增速有所回落。

    中國動力電池行業競爭加劇 降本壓力大

    圖為1-4月不同車型裝機量

    從不同車型來看,在新能源汽車市場中,2019年1-4月新能源乘用車動力電池裝機電量為13.8GWh,占總裝機電量的78.1%;客車為3.04GWh,占總裝機電量的17.2%;專用車動力電池裝機電量為1.06GWh。

    很顯然,截至2019年4月,新能源乘用車依然是拉動動力電池裝機電量增長的主力,拉動電池裝機量主要集中在中長續航里程的新能源汽車上。

    中國動力電池行業競爭加劇 降本壓力大

    圖為1-4月不同類型電池裝機量

    從不同電池類型來看,2019年1-4月,三元材料電池裝機電量為12.7GWh,占電池裝機總電量的71.87%;磷酸鐵鋰電池1-4月電池裝機電量為4.3GWh,占電池裝機總電量的24.33%;鈦酸鋰電池和錳酸鋰電池1-4月分別占電池裝機總電量的1.08%和2.15%。

    值得注意的是,磷酸鐵鋰電池4月裝機電量達到1.53GWh,同比增長3.1%,占4月總裝機電量的28.3%,其主要原因是在新能源補貼退坡的壓力下,部分車企為了降低成本在一些車型上選擇更加具有成本優勢的磷酸鐵鋰電池,進而拉動4月磷酸鐵鋰電池裝機電量增長。

    從不同類型電池的所占比重可以看出,三元電池依然占據市場主流,主要受新能源乘用車市場增長以及車型高端化所拉動。隨著新補貼政策的實行,微型車由于其續航能力不足,補貼下滑已成必然的趨勢,為了追逐更多補貼,車企必將會趨向于生產續航里程更長、補貼力度更大的車型,而電池企業為了滿足車企的需求,也將會繼續向具有更大能量密度的三元電池靠攏。 

    中國動力電池行業競爭加劇 降本壓力大

    圖為1-4月電池企業裝機量排名

    從電池企業排名上看,1-4月動力電池裝機總電量排名前10的企業分別是:寧德時代、比亞迪、國軒高科、孚能科技、時代上汽、力神電池、中航鋰電、比克、億緯鋰能、多氟多新能源,合計裝機總電量為15.81GWh,占1-4月電池裝機總電量的89.5%,其他企業占10.5%。

    其中,寧德時代總裝機電量達到7.57GWh,占1-4月電池裝機總電量的43%,在市場份額中占了將近一半;比亞迪排名第二,總裝機電量為5.19GWh,占電池裝機總電量的29.37%;前兩名企業合計占總電量的72.21%,寧德時代和比亞迪依舊占據市場主流。

    從總體來看,2019年1-4月國內動力電池市場表現良好,市場集中度依然較高,主要以純電動乘用車為主;電池類型方面,主要以三元電池為主;電池企業裝機量主要集中在排名靠前的龍頭企業中。

    中國電池企業降本壓力大 日韓企業加緊布局

    第二季度,隨著新能源汽車所能享受的補貼金額大幅下滑,這也意味著新能源汽車整車成本或售價將大幅提升,從而對動力電池企業提出極大的降成本壓力,動力電池售價將被進一步壓縮。

    2018年全球動力電池市場調研報告中顯示,全球產銷量占據前十名的企業均為中日韓三國企業,其中7家均為中國企業,其余三家分別為日本的松下、韓國的三星、LG化學。

    如今,中國新能源車市場快速發展,電動汽車銷量占據全球半壁江山,增速在全球遙遙領先。近兩年來,面對中國市場這塊大蛋糕,日韓電池巨頭著手布局中國市場的腳步進一步加快,這將會對中國本土電池企業造成巨大的挑戰和壓力。

    一位來自韓系動力電池企業的有關人士表示,中國動力市場龐大,且正在以遠快于全球平均速度成長,而中國市場將在2020年之后徹底取消補貼,屆時才將是全球巨頭與本土企業真正開始交鋒的一刻,無論是韓系還是日系,都正在做著準備。

    在此情況之下,國內動力電池企業一方面要加強技術研發,進一步降低成本。另一方面也要對市場和客戶結構進行優化,選擇優質客戶進行合作,同時開拓新的市場領域,從而在激烈的市場競爭中脫穎而出。

    (文/電車資源 素萍)

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    行業動態 本次6家整車企業通過平臺檢測 114個車型通過車輛檢測

    北京理工大學電動車輛國家工程實驗室發布了2019年8月1日至8月31日新能源汽車國家監測與管理平臺預約檢測及車輛檢測情況,其中通過平臺符合性檢測的整車企業有6家,通過車輛符合性檢測的車型有114個。

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    當動力電池衰減高于20%時,也就意味著回收不遠矣。有分析認為,2018年至2020年,僅新能源汽車帶來的廢舊動力電池將累計達到12萬—20萬噸。也就是在未來1年內,退役動力蓄電池累積將達到24GWh。
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